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Final League Standings

The following tables show the predicted finishing positions for all 4 leagues along with the calculated odds for finishing as champions, being promoted (or qualifying for the champions' league) and relegation. The predictions are calculated by simulating the season's remaining matches 1000 times using current regression fits. (if we were personally using these odds to place bets we'd use much larger simulation sets but they can give representative odds). We calculate the odds by aggregating the finishing positions of each simulation. These are updated once a week, on a Tuesday morning

Predicted Final League Tables

Tabs Holder

Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Man City 39 91 28 4 7 55 1.25 1.00 0.00
Fulham 2 3 1 1 1 1 3.32 1.95 1.00
Wolves 1 0 0 1 0 -1 4.29 2.42 1.00
Liverpool 38 79 24 6 8 35 8.70 1.12 0.00
Cardiff 2 2 1 1 0 -1 12.82 5.32 1.00
Tottenham 38 75 22 7 9 30 20.00 1.28 0.00
Man United 39 70 20 9 10 20 47.62 1.78 0.00
Chelsea 38 69 20 9 9 20 100.00 2.33 0.00
Arsenal 38 67 19 9 10 19 200.00 3.37 0.00
Newcastle 38 52 14 14 10 3 0.00 55.56 0.00
Crystal Palace 38 51 14 14 10 2 0.00 100.00 0.00
Leicester 38 48 13 15 10 -2 0.00 1,000.00 0.00
Southampton 38 46 12 16 10 -6 0.00 333.33 0.00
Watford 39 45 11 17 10 -10 0.00 1,000.00 0.00
Everton 38 44 11 17 10 -11 0.00 1,000.00 0.00
Brighton 41 44 11 19 11 -21 0.00 250.00 0.00
Bournemouth 38 43 11 17 10 -9 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burnley 38 42 11 18 10 -15 0.00 0.00 0.00
West Ham 38 41 10 18 10 -15 0.00 0.00 0.00
West Brom 38 40 10 18 10 -20 0.00 0.00 3.98
Huddersfield 38 39 10 19 10 -21 0.00 0.00 0.00
Swansea 37 35 9 19 9 -25 0.00 0.00 1.88
Stoke 37 33 8 20 9 -28 0.00 0.00 2.26
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Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Wigan 1 2 0 0 0 0 1.36 1.09 2.72
Fulham 46 83 24 10 12 27 3.32 1.95 1.00
Wolves 46 81 23 11 12 23 4.29 2.42 1.00
Blackburn 1 1 0 1 0 -1 4.90 1.55 1.57
Aston Villa 47 80 22 12 13 21 6.13 3.00 0.00
Brentford 46 76 21 12 12 20 10.31 4.95 0.00
Cardiff 46 76 21 12 12 20 12.82 5.32 1.00
Middlesbrough 46 73 20 13 12 16 22.22 9.62 0.00
Derby 47 71 19 15 13 10 34.48 13.16 0.00
Preston 46 70 19 14 13 12 43.48 16.39 0.00
Rotherham 1 1 0 1 0 -1 76.92 19.23 1.26
Hull 47 66 18 16 13 3 83.33 31.25 0.00
Sheffield United 46 66 18 16 13 4 125.00 30.30 0.00
Sheffield Weds 46 63 17 17 13 0 250.00 125.00 0.00
Millwall 46 63 17 17 13 2 500.00 125.00 0.00
Nott'm Forest 46 58 15 18 13 -7 500.00 166.67 0.00
QPR 46 60 16 18 13 -1 1,000.00 250.00 0.00
Bristol City 47 60 16 18 13 -3 1,000.00 250.00 0.00
Barnsley 46 53 14 20 12 -14 1,000.00 500.00 0.00
Norwich 46 63 17 17 13 1 0.00 83.33 0.00
Leeds 46 57 15 18 13 -10 0.00 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 46 55 14 19 13 -12 0.00 500.00 0.00
Sunderland 46 53 14 20 13 -13 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 46 52 13 20 12 -14 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bolton 46 45 11 23 12 -26 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reading 46 45 11 23 12 -27 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burton 46 43 10 24 12 -31 0.00 0.00 0.00
West Brom 1 2 1 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 3.98
Stoke 1 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 2.26
Swansea 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.88
    1 - 30
Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Wigan 46 94 28 8 11 42 1.36 1.09 2.72
Blackburn 46 85 24 10 12 30 4.90 1.55 1.57
Portsmouth 46 69 19 14 13 13 58.82 10.75 71.43
Rotherham 43 68 19 13 12 17 76.92 19.23 1.26
Charlton 46 68 19 15 13 9 111.11 16.95 45.45
Blackpool 46 69 19 15 13 12 142.86 16.67 45.45
Scunthorpe 46 66 18 16 13 8 200.00 32.26 34.48
Southend 46 66 18 16 13 7 333.33 40.00 22.22
Rochdale 46 64 17 16 13 6 333.33 43.48 16.95
Shrewsbury 46 64 17 16 13 7 500.00 45.45 20.83
Peterboro 46 64 17 16 13 3 500.00 76.92 14.71
Bristol Rvs 46 63 17 17 13 3 1,000.00 58.82 10.99
Doncaster 46 63 17 17 13 1 0.00 66.67 16.39
Oxford 46 61 16 17 13 -4 0.00 111.11 9.90
Plymouth 46 60 16 18 13 -5 0.00 200.00 8.00
Bradford 46 58 15 18 13 -12 0.00 500.00 5.99
AFC Wimbledon 46 57 15 19 12 -10 0.00 333.33 4.74
Fleetwood Town 46 57 15 19 12 -10 0.00 111.11 4.90
Oldham 45 56 14 18 12 -12 0.00 1,000.00 1.46
Gillingham 46 54 14 20 12 -16 0.00 0.00 3.03
Walsall 46 52 13 20 12 -18 0.00 1,000.00 2.60
Bury 45 51 13 20 12 -19 0.00 500.00 1.09
Milton Keynes Dons 46 50 13 21 12 -20 0.00 0.00 1.98
Northampton 45 43 10 23 11 -32 0.00 0.00 0.73
    1 - 24
Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Luton 46 85 24 10 12 35 2.07 1.24 0.00
Accrington 46 78 22 12 12 25 6.80 2.15 0.00
Wycombe 46 76 21 13 12 24 8.55 2.54 0.00
Coventry 46 73 20 13 12 21 15.63 3.42 0.00
Lincoln 46 70 19 14 12 11 28.57 5.68 0.00
Mansfield 46 70 19 14 12 11 30.30 5.59 0.00
Carlisle 46 68 18 15 13 8 43.48 8.26 0.00
Cambridge 47 67 18 16 13 6 45.45 9.90 0.00
Swindon 46 66 18 16 13 7 55.56 10.75 0.00
Notts County 46 66 18 15 13 7 71.43 13.33 0.00
Colchester 46 65 17 16 13 7 71.43 13.89 0.00
Exeter 47 65 17 17 13 4 76.92 10.31 0.00
Rotherham 11 20 6 2 3 9 76.92 19.23 1.26
Cheltenham 46 61 16 17 13 -1 250.00 37.04 0.00
Stevenage 47 59 15 19 13 -10 333.33 43.48 0.00
Newport County 46 59 15 18 13 -8 500.00 66.67 0.00
Crawley Town 46 57 15 19 12 -11 500.00 83.33 0.00
Crewe 47 57 15 19 13 -13 500.00 111.11 0.00
Port Vale 46 56 14 19 13 -13 500.00 66.67 0.00
Barnet 46 58 15 18 13 -8 1,000.00 52.63 0.00
Yeovil 47 54 14 20 13 -18 1,000.00 166.67 0.00
Morecambe 47 53 14 21 13 -20 0.00 0.00 0.00
Forest Green 47 52 13 21 12 -22 0.00 1,000.00 0.00
Grimsby 46 51 13 21 12 -22 0.00 1,000.00 0.00
Chesterfield 46 48 12 22 12 -27 0.00 500.00 0.00
Oldham 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 1,000.00 1.46
Bury 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 500.00 1.09
Tranmere 1 1 0 1 0 -1 0.00 0.00 1.92
Northampton 1 1 0 1 0 -1 0.00 0.00 0.73
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