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Final League Standings

The following tables show the predicted finishing positions for all 4 leagues along with the calculated odds for finishing as champions, being promoted (or qualifying for the champions' league) and relegation. The predictions are calculated by simulating the season's remaining matches 1000 times using current regression fits. (if we were personally using these odds to place bets we'd use much larger simulation sets but they can give representative odds). We calculate the odds by aggregating the finishing positions of each simulation. These are updated once a week, on a Tuesday morning

Predicted Final League Tables

Tabs Holder

Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Man City 38 96 30 3 5 68 1.01 1.00 0.00
Man United 38 78 23 7 7 37 142.86 1.22 0.00
Chelsea 38 75 23 8 7 30 250.00 1.55 0.00
Liverpool 38 75 22 6 11 36 500.00 1.48 0.00
Tottenham 38 73 21 8 9 34 0.00 2.03 0.00
Arsenal 38 72 21 9 7 24 0.00 2.72 0.00
Burnley 38 52 14 14 10 -2 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leicester 38 51 13 14 11 1 0.00 0.00 250.00
Watford 38 49 13 15 10 -5 0.00 0.00 166.67
Everton 38 48 13 15 10 -8 0.00 0.00 100.00
Southampton 38 45 11 15 12 -6 0.00 0.00 38.46
Bournemouth 38 40 10 18 9 -10 0.00 0.00 6.17
Newcastle 38 40 10 19 9 -12 0.00 0.00 7.25
Stoke 38 40 10 18 9 -26 0.00 0.00 5.13
Brighton 38 38 9 18 10 -23 0.00 0.00 5.00
Huddersfield 38 38 10 20 8 -32 0.00 0.00 3.79
West Ham 38 36 9 20 10 -29 0.00 0.00 2.65
Crystal Palace 38 35 8 19 11 -26 0.00 0.00 2.25
West Brom 38 34 7 18 12 -26 0.00 0.00 1.97
Swansea 38 32 8 22 8 -25 0.00 0.00 1.50
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Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Wolves 46 90 27 10 10 36 1.58 1.15 0.00
Cardiff 46 86 25 10 11 28 3.73 1.50 0.00
Bristol City 46 78 22 11 14 21 21.28 5.95 0.00
Derby 46 77 22 12 12 19 38.46 7.63 0.00
Aston Villa 46 74 20 12 14 14 71.43 15.87 0.00
Sheffield United 46 72 22 17 8 10 250.00 23.26 1,000.00
Middlesbrough 46 70 20 15 12 12 250.00 47.62 0.00
Leeds 46 70 20 16 10 14 333.33 83.33 0.00
Preston 46 68 18 13 15 6 1,000.00 76.92 1,000.00
Fulham 46 67 17 14 15 6 1,000.00 166.67 0.00
Brentford 46 67 17 13 16 16 0.00 333.33 0.00
Sheffield Weds 46 64 16 14 16 2 0.00 1,000.00 250.00
Reading 46 62 17 17 12 5 0.00 1,000.00 500.00
Ipswich 46 62 18 19 9 -4 0.00 1,000.00 333.33
Norwich 46 62 16 17 13 -5 0.00 500.00 500.00
Nott'm Forest 46 61 18 21 7 -11 0.00 0.00 333.33
Hull 46 54 13 19 14 -7 0.00 0.00 26.32
Millwall 46 53 13 18 15 -5 0.00 0.00 17.86
QPR 46 53 13 19 14 -14 0.00 0.00 10.00
Barnsley 46 48 12 22 12 -16 0.00 0.00 3.91
Sunderland 46 45 10 20 16 -19 0.00 0.00 2.41
Bolton 46 43 10 23 14 -30 0.00 0.00 1.72
Birmingham 46 43 11 25 11 -30 0.00 0.00 1.65
Burton 46 35 8 27 11 -48 0.00 0.00 1.07
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Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Wigan 46 95 29 8 9 48 1.36 1.06 0.00
Blackburn 46 89 26 9 11 37 4.27 1.31 0.00
Bradford 46 78 23 13 10 16 58.82 9.43 0.00
Shrewsbury 46 78 22 12 12 19 90.91 11.11 0.00
Portsmouth 46 71 21 17 9 10 333.33 90.91 0.00
Scunthorpe 46 77 22 13 12 20 1,000.00 16.39 0.00
Bristol Rvs 47 65 19 21 7 0 1,000.00 333.33 250.00
Charlton 46 71 20 14 12 8 0.00 71.43 0.00
Oxford 46 67 18 15 13 17 0.00 200.00 500.00
Rotherham 46 66 19 18 9 11 0.00 1,000.00 250.00
Peterboro 46 63 17 17 12 -2 0.00 0.00 40.00
Fleetwood Town 46 61 16 17 13 -3 0.00 0.00 29.41
Walsall 46 61 16 16 14 -5 0.00 0.00 34.48
Southend 46 61 16 16 14 -12 0.00 0.00 24.39
Oldham 46 58 15 19 12 -8 0.00 0.00 14.29
Blackpool 46 57 15 18 13 -8 0.00 0.00 10.20
Milton Keynes Dons 46 57 14 18 14 -12 0.00 0.00 9.01
Doncaster 46 56 15 19 12 -8 0.00 0.00 7.14
Rochdale 46 54 13 18 15 -10 0.00 0.00 4.63
AFC Wimbledon 46 51 13 21 12 -14 0.00 0.00 2.60
Bury 46 47 12 22 12 -18 0.00 0.00 1.65
Gillingham 47 47 11 21 15 -21 0.00 0.00 1.56
Plymouth 46 46 11 23 12 -26 0.00 0.00 1.42
Northampton 46 42 11 25 10 -39 0.00 0.00 1.12
    1 - 24
Team G P W L D Gd O Win O Pro O Rel
Luton 46 89 26 8 12 51 1.44 1.06 0.00
Notts County 46 82 23 10 13 25 6.45 1.50 0.00
Accrington 46 79 23 12 11 22 13.16 2.08 0.00
Wycombe 46 75 20 12 14 22 38.46 4.03 0.00
Exeter 46 73 21 15 10 8 58.82 6.80 0.00
Swindon 46 71 21 16 9 11 111.11 9.80 0.00
Coventry 46 72 20 14 12 18 142.86 8.33 0.00
Mansfield 46 71 19 13 15 15 142.86 10.31 0.00
Lincoln 46 69 19 14 13 9 200.00 15.63 0.00
Colchester 46 70 19 15 12 13 250.00 13.33 0.00
Newport County 46 65 17 15 14 6 1,000.00 43.48 1,000.00
Carlisle 46 63 16 16 14 0 0.00 166.67 500.00
Grimsby 46 63 17 17 12 -8 0.00 100.00 0.00
Cambridge 47 63 17 18 12 -13 0.00 83.33 333.33
Cheltenham 46 61 16 17 13 -1 0.00 166.67 166.67
Stevenage 46 58 15 18 13 -11 0.00 1,000.00 66.67
Crawley Town 46 55 14 19 13 -8 0.00 0.00 30.30
Port Vale 46 53 14 22 10 -15 0.00 0.00 10.75
Chesterfield 47 51 13 22 12 -19 0.00 1,000.00 7.94
Morecambe 46 49 12 21 14 -22 0.00 0.00 5.81
Barnet 46 48 12 22 12 -13 0.00 0.00 3.45
Crewe 46 48 13 24 9 -28 0.00 0.00 3.70
Yeovil 46 45 11 23 11 -27 0.00 0.00 2.26
Forest Green 46 43 11 24 11 -35 0.00 0.00 1.83
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